Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.036141 0.041950 0.048399 0.056092 0.065020 0.075061 0.087218
2025-12-21 0.026524 0.033966 0.043070 0.055037 0.070371 0.089384 0.114797
2025-12-28 0.021654 0.029923 0.040831 0.056293 0.077688 0.106316 0.147656
2026-01-04 0.018088 0.026609 0.038569 0.056607 0.083202 0.121095 0.179426
2026-01-11 0.015454 0.023992 0.036631 0.056745 0.088069 0.135188 0.211849
2026-01-18 0.013586 0.022127 0.035384 0.057516 0.093705 0.150843 0.248521
2026-01-25 0.012231 0.020807 0.034705 0.058939 0.100369 0.168735 0.291008
2026-02-01 0.010522 0.018629 0.032295 0.057094 0.101254 0.177142 0.318621
2026-02-08 0.009340 0.017162 0.030846 0.056621 0.104308 0.189426 0.354415
2026-02-15 0.008328 0.015849 0.029468 0.056038 0.106994 0.201258 0.390805
2026-02-22 0.007658 0.015066 0.028930 0.056896 0.112396 0.218619 0.439816
2026-03-01 0.006919 0.014046 0.027808 0.056461 0.115200 0.231311 0.481267
2026-03-08 0.006136 0.012853 0.026230 0.054970 0.115818 0.240023 0.516393
2026-03-15 0.005450 0.011766 0.024728 0.053442 0.116165 0.248255 0.551774
2026-03-22 0.005093 0.011324 0.024491 0.054541 0.122219 0.269149 0.617550
2026-03-29 0.004703 0.010757 0.023916 0.054816 0.126486 0.286704 0.678281
2026-04-05 0.004344 0.010211 0.023314 0.054943 0.130414 0.303975 0.740755
2026-04-12 0.004067 0.009817 0.022999 0.055687 0.135866 0.325395 0.816143
2026-04-19 0.003858 0.009555 0.022956 0.057064 0.143007 0.351685 0.907237
2026-04-26 0.003472 0.008813 0.021686 0.055278 0.142116 0.358432 0.949798
2026-05-03 0.003203 0.008330 0.020983 0.054821 0.144518 0.373644 1.016563
2026-05-10 0.002955 0.007867 0.020276 0.054256 0.146565 0.388201 1.083664
2026-05-17 0.002800 0.007628 0.020106 0.055086 0.152431 0.413461 1.183793